work-blog/articles/drafts/popper-and-the-risky-test.md
Gregory Gauthier 544b773e8f feat(drafts): add initial drafts for philosophy-inspired testing articles
Introduces nine new draft articles exploring intersections of software testing with philosophy, epistemology, and related concepts:
- On Flakiness (Heraclitus and non-deterministic tests)
- Popper and the Risky Test (demarcation criterion)
- Regression as Institutional Memory (Wittgenstein's On Certainty)
- Tacit Knowledge and the Testing Checklist (Polanyi's tacit dimension)
- Test Environments as Platonic Shadows (Plato's cave allegory)
- The Tester as Witness (legal metaphor and testimony)
- Testing Probabilistic Systems (ML and statistical testing)
- The Oracle Problem (oracles in testing frameworks)
- When Quality Becomes Quantity (Goodhart's Law and metrics)
2026-04-20 09:28:28 +01:00

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Popper and the Risky Test. You've covered modus tollens but stopped short of the inevitable: Popper's demarcation criterion[1]. A good test is a risky prediction — one the product could plausibly fail. Low-risk tests (tests that pass because there's nothing interesting they could catch) are the testing equivalent of unfalsifiable theories: they look like science but aren't. This would give you a rigorous vocabulary for the intuition behind "my regression suite is green but I don't feel confident."

[1] https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/popper/